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Expect a quiet start of the week before US CPI data on Thursday
Hawks and doves might both be satisfied with yesterday's Fed minutes. Still, FX remains driven by equities
Markets are unwinding some dovish bets, and questioning stretched equity valuations, ultimately favouring defensive bets in FX
The base rate was cut by 75bp as expected, but the forward guidance got an upgrade
We see a continuation of Hungary's 75bp rate cut cycle while the Central Bank of Turkey is forecast to raise rates by 250bp at its next meeting
By Peter Virovacz
We expect the National Bank of Hungary to continue its easing cycle amidst improving internal factors
The big yen rally has been exacerbated by positioning factors, but markets may keep speculating on a BoJ December hike
Both retail sales and industrial production still suffer from the lack of domestic demand
The dollar has shown resilience after disappointing JOLTS job openings data yesterday, leaving EUR/USD under pressure
The dollar's mixed ahead of the US jobs report later this week
