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Soft news out of China and central bankers pushing back against rate cuts can keep the dollar supported
Markets will need strong words from the Fed to reconnect data and rate expectations
Despite the downside surprise, we expect the NBH to stick to a 75bp rate cut
Dollar support is mainly coming from the risk-sentiment channel
All of latest the from our team on what could be next in the US, the eurozone, the UK, Asia, and the CEE region
We see marginal easing in 2024, under pressure from a strong zloty and other central banks, but clearly less than priced by the yield curve
The post meeting statement is balanced but slightly more dovish than a month ago
We suspect that weaker external demand was the reason for the big negative surprise
Carry trade strategies are in demand as investors await the next big cue from US data
Retail sales are clearly improving in Hungary, but the pace will be gradual