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Despite the notion that eurozone growth pessimism may have peaked, rate differentials still point at a weaker EUR/USD
Fed minutes once again reiterated the cautious approach to interest rates but for the US dollar this seems to be more of a non-event
The National Bank of Hungary cut interest rates by another 75bp and we see this easing cycle continuing
The soft dollar environment has seen Chinese authorities try to chase the renminbi higher
Short-covering of bearish positioning in risk assets continues, and this is a dollar negative
A flurry of data releases in Poland as well as central bank decisions in Hungary and Turkey are in focus next week
By Peter Virovacz and Frantisek Taborsky
We expect the National Bank of Hungary to cut the key interest rate by 75bp again, against a favourable economic backdrop
Next year offers an optimistic outlook for the region, but the risks from this year are being carried over into next, and there are some new ones, too
Hungary is out of technical recession, but 2024 outlook remains cloudy
Softer US CPI and retail sales can see the dollar edge lower this week
