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G10 FX Week Ahead: I need a dollar, a dollar is what I need

13 July 2018

The Federal Reserve Chair's semi-annual testimony to Congress is the headline event in an otherwise quiet week. As i...

By Viraj Patel

What can France gain from a World Cup final?

13 July 20181531727577

France, at 1.1 billion euros the highest valued team at the World Cup, will play in the competition's final for the ...

By Julien Manceaux

Eurozone: ECB minutes show broad support for dovish tapering

12 July 2018

Strong growth and gradually increasing inflationary pressure comforted the ECB’s June decision to announce a de-fa...

By Carsten Brzeski

Four crucial questions for Eurozone leaders to answer

11 July 2018

European leaders made little progress in answering profound questions about the Eurozone's future at their June summ...

By Mark Cliffe

China: Changing the nature of retaliation on trade

11 July 2018

It may not be until September that we'll be able to assess the extent of China's qualitative retaliation to the ...

By Iris Pang

The implications of Turkey’s Executive Presidency

12 July 2018

A new system of government has begun in Turkey. We look at the implications for the country's politics and economy, ...

By Muhammet Mercan

World Cup: Does your team really always want to win?

11 July 2018

The knockout stages of the World Cup not only provided plenty of drama but also some great football. With only a few tea...

By Sebastian Franke

JPY: Why the yen’s at a crossroads

11 July 2018

We see two potentially large and opposing drivers of USD/JPY over the next six months. Further Fed tightening and US Tre...

By Chris Turner

UK government in turmoil, what now for Brexit?

9 July 2018

Having agreed a plan with her government, Theresa May has been rocked by the resignation of Brexit Secretary David Davis...

By James Knightley and James Smith

Turkey: Unemployment rate changing direction

After being stagnant in 1Q18, the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate is chang...

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Indonesia: Trade balance swings back to black in June

Slower import growth in June brought the trade balance back to a surplus of $1.7...

1531727100

EUR: Less Blues

A quiet week may help the euro get over its recent blues. Meanwhile, President T...

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China: GDP forecasts cut on trade war

The ongoing trade war will affect future GDP directly via the manufacturing and ...

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Friend or Foe?

US President Donald Trump's categorization of the EU as a "foe" on trade is well wide of the mark. And with China an...

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Turkey: Rating downgrade by Fitch, outlook still negative

Fitch downgraded Turkey's sovereign debt, the second move in less than two y...

July's Monthly Economic Update

Global Outlook: Trump’s Trade Gamble

Uncertainty from President Trump's economic pronouncements could be more dan...

Eurozone: The ECB takes it slowly

After a strong 2017, political instability and trade tensions within the eu...

US: Keep pushing…

With a strong economy and minimal impact from tariffs, Trump is likely to forge ...

FX: Evaluating the scenarios

This July could prove to be a testing month for FX markets, given the rise in tr...

Rates: Just 30bp, seriously?

This July, rates remain under wraps due to dollar strength, geopolitics and a re...

China: The retaliation cycle

A tit-for-tat trade war will hurt China's economic growth in the second quar...

Japan: Momentum slipping

Japan's activity indicators have slipped from 'good' to 'mediocr...

Upbeat Fed sees little to derail US expansion

The Federal Reserve remains positive on the US' economic outlook with barely...

What can France gain from a World Cup final?

France, at 1.1 billion euros the highest valued team at the World Cup, will play in the competition's final for the ...

1531727577

G10 FX Week Ahead: I need a dollar, a dollar is what I need

The Federal Reserve Chair's semi-annual testimony to Congress is the headlin...

Poland: Higher core inflation, but disappointing structure

The central statistical office increased core inflation estimates in the final C...

Interactive

Mark Cliffe on the future of banking

Latest Brexit scenarios

Pound set for ‘big relief rally’ if UK opts for soft Brexit

A customs union doesn’t mean frictionless borders

Where next for global central banks

EUR/USD Scenarios

Four potential paths for EUR/USD

Four scenarios for Eurozone reform

Four scenarios for the future of Italy

Raoul Leering: Why Trump has a point on China

Why markets are misguided on UK rates

Don’t be fooled by the dollar’s recent rise

Where the Fed stands

Key Brexit events in 2018

The trade-offs between different Brexit models

A trade war between the EU and US, a lose-lose situation

NAFTA trade flows

How to imagine your future?

Surprise, surprise: you’re stronger than you think

Why are humans so bad at making decisions?

Consumer economics

Friend or Foe?

Cryptocurrencies: The future of online spending?

World Cup: Knockouts are difficult to forecast

Cracking the code on cryptocurrency

Reports

Central and Eastern Europe’s FDI proposition: Ready, aim, invest

Despite the recent rise in protectionist sentiment, Eurozone growth is showing some real momentum. Capacity constraints ...

Report by Chris Turner, Ciprian Dascalu and Bert Colijn

July Economic Update: Trump’s trade gamble

Our monthly economic outlook for July is dominated by the uncertainty created by President Trump's moves on tariffs ...

Report by Peter Vanden Houte, James Knightley and 6 others

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