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Faster disinflation does not necessarily mean faster rate cuts. The local story will play an increasingly important role in the second half of the year
Yesterday’s release of the June FOMC minutes gave very few reasons to doubt the Fed’s determination to keep raising rates
The RBA kept rates on hold overnight but reiterated a data-dependent approach and signalled openness to more tightening ahead
Dollar may find support amid a challenging week
After a strong run of data activity in the US, keep an eye out for more key releases this week. In Poland, CPI data will be in focus
Polish inflation for June calls for Sep NBP rate cut.
High inflation has been a dampener for the Hungarian economy
Strong wage growth in Hungary, combined with a lowering unemployment rate, might trigger a new round of pro-inflation shock
The National Bank of Hungary continues the normalisation with 100bp cut in the effective rate
FX markets are a little confused by the conundrum of inverted yield curves and rallying equities
