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Australia inflation and BI policy meeting today
Sterling is starting to show some underperformance following a few dovish comments from internal MPC members
We expect the first UK rate cut in August, but it could come in June
US GDP and PCE may come in relatively strong and could prevent dollar momentum from softening much
Safe haven currencies are leading the pack, and there are now risks of a more structural bearish turn on EUR/USD
The National Bank of Hungary could slow down the pace of rate cuts to 50bp in April
Speculation is growing that Japan and Korea may jointly intervene to sell FX
A weaker euro and higher oil prices limit the ECB's room for rate-cut manoeuvres
Carry trades are being rapidly unwound as volatility starts to pick up again.
After scaling back our expectations for Fed rate cuts this year, EUR/USD looks more likely to be capped at 1.10
