A list of worries that risk flipping much worse
Still on a journey from Amber to Red unless we see a big positive change in fortunes
US dollar stakes get raised - what to do now in the rates space?
President Trump and Scott Bessent have been talking the dollar. We take some learning from this and map out a rates strategy
US Rates heading deeper into the Zone of Interest
We are getting to the optimal part of a zone where getting long will make glaring sense, where even impact carry flips positive
The US 10yr Treasury yield can hit 4%, but it will still snap back up towards 5%
The Mexican curve is deeply inverted, and primed to re-steepen. The real Banxico rate is super high. Long tenor market rates are low vs the US. Banxico can…
US Rates: Dipping negative