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September has proved an exceptional month for the dollar. In the G10 space, the dollar has rallied anywhere from 1% against the Swiss franc to as much as…
The move higher in the USD has been unrelenting and this continues to weigh heavily on the commodities complex. Macro drivers remain firmly in the driving…
The pound has continued its disorderly fall today. Since a U-turn on freshly-announced fiscal measures seems unlikely just yet, many are calling for more…
As the latest inflation numbers were well below the Czech National Bank's forecasts, we believe the CNB repo rate will remain unchanged at 7%. For…
After a tumultuous week in FX where even the US Treasury understood Japan’s need for FX intervention on the back of ‘heightened…
The complex held up relatively well yesterday, despite a number of central banks hiking rates and the stronger USD. However, commodities are likely to…
We narrowly favour a 75 basis point hike at the National Bank of Hungary’s September meeting, taking the base rate and the one-week depo rate to…
The Swedish Riksbank today kicks off a busy week of central bank policy meetings, which should see chunky 75bp hikes in many countries. Central bankers…
Despite the Central Bank of Turkey implying in its forward guidance that further rate cuts are ahead, we believe it will keep the policy rate unchanged…
Markets have continued to push their Fed peak rate expectations further, and now see 4.50% in March 2023. A more inverted yield curve has triggered a…
