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The National Bank of Romania delivered a mild hawkish surprise today, hiking by 75bp to 6.25%, against ING and market expectations of a 50bp hike. We had…
All attention remains focused on Wednesday’s OPEC+ meeting, where expectations are for the group to announce a large cut. Failure to deliver this…
The Romanian National Bank (NBR) will announce its latest policy rate decision on 5 October. We expect a reduction of the tightening pace to 50 basis…
The pound has reversed back to pre 'fiscal event' levels on news of a policy U-turn. A holiday in China this week might introduce slightly calmer…
In our latest update, we review our forecasts as Hungary inches closer to recession. Inflation is set to move higher, though the central bank has ended…
Turkish inflation is expected to increase to 83.5% in September due to significant price hikes in electricity and natural gas fees. In Hungary, we see the…
CPI inflation rose to 17.2% year-on-year in September, reaching the highest level in a quarter century. The increase was driven by higher core inflation…
Events in the UK yesterday marked the first time this stagflationary macro environment risked evolving into a financial crisis. Fortunately, the Bank of…
The dollar continues to power ahead. Over the last 24 hours, the focus has switched from the pound to the Chinese renminbi. Here, there are signs that…
The National Bank of Hungary surprised markets at its September meeting, hiking the base rate by 125 basis points to 13% and announcing the end of the…
