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Financial markets are caught between the two narratives of a softer landing (helped by China's reopening) and sticky inflation keeping policy rates…
The National Bank of Hungary remains cautious, waiting to see proof of a permanent improvement in the big picture of risks. In our view, recent…
The preliminary reading of fourth-quarter GDP growth was confirmed at 2% year-on-year. The seasonally-adjusted data points to a 2.4% quarterly decline in…
The dollar remains broadly bid after Friday's release of US PCE inflation data argued that the Fed needed to push rates higher and for longer. 25bp…
The labour market has continued its gradual deterioration. The falling demand for labour is just one of the driving forces behind rising unemployment. The…
For Hungary's rates-setting meeting next week, we expect no changes to be made. In the Czech Republic, we think the GDP report will confirm the…
We are seeing tentative signs of improvement in Hungary's economy, but it's still early days and so we expect central bank policymakers to…
It is a familiar story in FX, but the strong run of US price and activity data has provided a tailwind to Fed hawks. Yesterday it was the turn of…
Inflation increased to 17.2% YoY in January from 16.6% YoY in December 2022. The reading was well below the market forecast of 17.6% YoY mainly due to a…
US CPI numbers were in line with consensus yesterday and offered more room for markets to raise Fed rate expectations. This hasn’t translated into a…
