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We are constructive on emerging markets; a weaker dollar, only mild rises in core rates and robust inflows present solid underpinnings. But, when…
The CBR kept the 4.25% key rate and signalled this level is here to stay. The certainty of CPI falling to 3.5-4.0% in 2021 from 4.5-5.0% currently, is now…
Russian inflation is likely to hit 4.7% this year, exceeding initial forecasts, which should keep the central bank on hold. However, it is unlikely to…
The Debt Management Agency adjusted the 2021 financing plan according to the latest deficit expectation of 6.5% of GDP. The majority of the funding comes…
A busy week ahead for monetary policy with central bank meetings in Kazakhstan, Hungary, the Czech Republic, Mexico and Russia. However we expect all of…
By Robert Carnell
Broad market trends look set to continue into the year-end but there are some potential trip hazards ahead
November brought new containment measures and with that, the budget has suffered another huge hit. Moreover, the government has revisited its 2021 budget…
Brexit will likely grab the headlines again, but the broad rally of core bonds yesterday signals it is not the only worry for rates markets. US stimulus…
The catch-up of exports continued in October, albeit at a slower pace
