US politics watch: Four scenarios for 2020

With the US presidential election less than 18 months away, we're looking at the political and economic consequences of four different scenarios. Who and what might unseat Donald Trump? This is a collection of all our articles and videos, produced in association with Oxford Analytica

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US Politics Watch full report: Four scenarios for 2020 and beyond

The US Presidential election next year has the potential to be even more contentious and unpredictable than the last. This major report, written in…

Politics watch: 4 scenarios for America’s next presidential election

Will Donald Trump be reelected in 2020 or will one of our other three scenarios come to pass? ING has teamed up with Oxford Analytica to present US…

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United States of Trump

If President Trump is re-elected in 2020, most of his policy agenda would remain as it is now. But some differences may emerge as he consolidates his…

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Video: US politics watch, a Trump win?

Donald Trump being re-elected President of the United States in 2020 is one of four scnerios we're considering in our US politics watch series.…

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Consensus Builders Emerge

If a centrist Democrat were to win the White House in 2020, we could expect middle income tax cuts, modest infrastructure spending and an easing in trade…

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Video: US politics watch, a centrist Democrat to win?

The economic implications of a centrist Democrat winning the US election race in 2020 is one of four scenarios we'll be looking at over the coming 18…

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A Republican Phoenix

If President Trump were to be replaced by another Republican nominee in the 2020 race, some of the current policy agenda would remain unchanged. However,…

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Video: US politics watch, a non-Trump Republican to win?

Don't assume Donald Trump will definitely be contesting the Presidential elections in 2020. The economic consequences of a non-Trump Republican…

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A New New Deal

The election of a populist Democrat is predicated on the electorate’s desire for change and is the most economically uncertain outcomes in the race…

Video: US politics watch, a populist Democrat?

In what circumstances coudl we see a populists Democrat, such as Bernie Sanders or Elizabeth Warren, take the White House in 2020? It's just one of…