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Poland’s gradual recovery in 4Q is set to accelerate this year

The economy is preparing for a rebound. After a mostly lacklustre fourth quarter, December brings hope of a recovery. Manufacturing is improving and construction is stronger though retail trade remains weak. We estimate that the Polish economy grew 1.4-1.5% year-on-year in 4Q vs 0.5% in 3Q, and see GDP growth of 0.3-0.4% in 2023 and around 3% in 2024

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