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The final CPI in October, at 6.8%, confirms another wave of commodity price rises. However, inflation continues to spread, particularly to goods, where…
Expect a rate hike in Hungary and a rate cut in Turkey next week
The strong third-quarter numbers support our view that Poland will reach more than 5% GDP growth for the full year. That's despite the continuing…
The Hungarian government is capping fuel prices for three months from 15 November. That should damp down major inflation risks, but it's only a…
Disruptions in global value chains continue to weigh on Central and Eastern Europe, and the Delta variant is blurring the outlook for the fourth quarter.…
The National Bank of Romania (NBR) delivered a mild surprise today, hiking the key rate by 25 basis points to 1.75%, versus the 50-basis points hike we,…
The monthly deficit in October breaks a record, showing the strong push to increase aggregate demand, as the general election approaches
Despite heightened expectations, October inflation was a significant upside surprise. Second-round effects are here as core inflation also jumped,…
FX markets look as though they have entered a more consolidative, risk-positive environment helped by comments from the Fed's Clarida that a possible…
The drop in German exports in September adds to the evidence that the economy's only growth drivers in the third quarter were private consumption and…