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The National Bank of Hungary raised the base rate by 100bp and remains hawkish with its forward guidance. We maintain our above 8.25% terminal rate call.…
FX markets are a little calmer after Chinese authorities promised to offer more support to the economy. But a more freely floating renminbi plus the…
Unstable risk sentiment and China's battle against Covid are raising the downside risks for commodity currencies. At the same time, the PBoC's…
Expect another rate hike from the Hungarian central bank next week as policymakers remain focused on tackling high inflation
Incoming data don’t sharply contradict the central bank's March forecast. We see a maintained pace of tightening, hiking the base rate and the…
A few days before the second round of the presidential elections on 24 April, Emmanuel Macron is widening his lead in the polls and last night's big…
As discussed in our market preview, we think the ECB meeting today may fall short of the market's hawkish expectations, as Lagarde may keep her…
In our latest update, we reassess our Hungarian economic and market forecasts to see what is boiling in the economy's pressure-cooker. In addition to…
We will see March CPI prints for quite a few economies this week (including the US). New cycle highs are anticipated. Expect these readings to favour the…
After an extraordinary monthly deficit in February, March didn’t bring any relief. With the cash-flow based deficit sitting at 73% of the full-year…