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Unlike Western counterparts, many economies in the CEEMEA space came into the Covid-19 crisis with relatively high levels of inflation- largely a legacy…
In this edition, we assess which policymakers will be more tolerant of inflation or, in other words, will be prepared to let their economies run hot.
Multiple data releases from Hungary and Russia, inflation numbers from Turkey, and a National Bank of Poland decision will be in focus next week
Covid cases are rising, lockdowns are extended yet the growth outlook still points to a rebound from late in the second quarter and beyond. With CPI above…
The surprisingly strong Hungarian wage growth in January is somewhat deceptive and we see a marked softening ahead. In our view, this discrepancy is…
EMEA FX is now being driven more by specific regional factors than global trends. The third wave of coronavirus across Europe is of concern for central…
After a significant jump in January, the unemployment rate decreased in February but the details suggest that's because the participation rate in the…
Purchasing Manager Indexes (PMIs) are in focus in the Central and Eastern European region next week, as both supply chain disruptions and new containment…
FX markets have been bounced around by conflicting forces over recent weeks. A few weeks ago it was the bearish steepening in the US Treasury curve and…
The Hungarian current account balance came in at €98.6 million in 2020 after the fourth quarter data and downward revisions. This small surplus will…
