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In case you missed it: Peak uncertainty

  • 15 November 2018

After a week of high drama in the UK and low growth in the eurozone, levels of uncertainty appear to be reaching a crescendo. It's all very far from ideal. The question is, will the situation get worse and could it even lead us into recession?  

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Brexodus heaps pressure on May
United Kingdom
16 November 2018

Brexodus heaps pressure on May

A slew of ministerial resignations and the probability that enough of her MPs will look to trigger a no-confidence vote leave PM Theresa May’s…

GBP: Rocked by Brexit resignations, sterling could fall another 3 to 4%
FX United Kingdom
15 November 2018

GBP: Rocked by Brexit resignations, sterling could fall another 3 to 4%

The resignation of the British Brexit Secretary, Dominic Raab, has increased the chances of a leadership challenge to Theresa May and a 'no-deal'…

The Eurozone economy: Between optimism and pessimism
Germany
13 November 2018

The Eurozone economy: Between optimism and pessimism

There is currently a lot of speculation about the future path of the global economy. Is the best behind us and are fears about an imminent and protracted…

Germany: Wake-up call
Quick take
Germany
14 November 2018

Germany: Wake-up call

First it was politics, now it is the economy. The worst economic performance since 1Q 2013 is another wake-up call for the eurozone’s largest…

Eurozone: a dismal third quarter confirmed
Quick take
14 November 2018

Eurozone: a dismal third quarter confirmed

GDP growth in the Eurozone was confirmed at just 0.2% in Q3. Industrial production saw a decline in September. While a small recovery of GDP is expected…

ECB: Auto pilot with a slight dovish bias
Quick take
Germany
16 November 2018

ECB: Auto pilot with a slight dovish bias

In one of his rare public speeches, ECB president Mario Draghi just confirmed the bank's determination to end quantitative easing, but opened the door…

Br-Asia
12 November 2018

Br-Asia

Brexit feels a long way from Asia, but are there any implications of a no-deal exit for our region? In short, yes.

Forecasting is fallible, yet necessary
12 November 2018

Forecasting is fallible, yet necessary

Economic forecasters are caught out by shocks so often that one might reasonably ask why they bother. The short answer is that they have no choice, writes…

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