THINK economic and financial analysis

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Padhraic Garvey, CFA

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Padhraic Garvey, CFA
Regional Head of Research, Americas

Padhraic Garvey is the Regional Head of Research, Americas. He's based in New York. His brief spans both developed and emerging markets and he specialises in global rates and macro relative value. He worked for Cambridge Econometrics and ABN Amro before joining ING. He holds a Masters degree in Economics from University College Dublin and is a CFA charterholder.

Padhraic Garvey, CFA

Latest reports from Padhraic

Report Rates
Rates Outlook 2025: Rates go back to the future
Rates Outlook 2025: Rates go back to the future
Report
ING Monthly: Central bankers left holding the baby
ING Monthly: Central bankers left holding the baby
Report FX
United States
US election guide for the FX market
US election guide for the FX market

Latest opinions

What's going on in Latam? The same old Samba for rates...
Opinion What’s going on in Latam? The same old Samba for rates…
US market rates peacock, but for how long?
Opinion US market rates peacock, but for how long?
Here's why we should not get too down on Mexico
Opinion Here’s why we should not get too down on Mexico
The early cutting cycle – what the US 10yr should do
Opinion The early cutting cycle – what the US 10yr should do

Latest podcasts

Listen: Price stability vs financial stability
Icon Podcast Listen: Price stability vs financial stability
Listen: Rate hikes, recession, rate cuts
Icon Podcast Listen: Rate hikes, recession, rate cuts

More from Padhraic

FX
Rates
United States
Fed confirms a slower and shallower rate cut story for 2025

Fed confirms a slower and shallower rate cut story for 2025

We got another 25bp policy rate cut from the Fed, but updated projections and Chair Powell’s press conference confirms that the Fed is going to be much…
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: Long-end rates look too low post the FOMC

Rates Spark: Long-end rates look too low post the FOMC

The net outcome from the FOMC is a 10yr rate that's got a lot of upside for 2025
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: A 25bp cut this time, but will they pause in January?

Rates Spark: A 25bp cut this time, but will they pause in January?

A 25bp cut by the FOMC is fully priced in, while 10Y Gilt yields continue to trade above USTs after hot wage numbers
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: Markets sniffing out some 2025 impulses
Rates Spark: Markets sniffing out some 2025 impulses
FX
Rates
United States
Fed set to cut 25bp but to signal a slower, shallower path ahead
Fed set to cut 25bp but to signal a slower, shallower path ahead
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: Not as dovish as hoped
Rates Spark: Not as dovish as hoped
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: A fourth ECB cut incoming
Rates Spark: A fourth ECB cut incoming
Rates
Back to the future for rates
Rates
Rates go back to the future
Rates go back to the future
Rates
US debt dynamics look scary. Effective policy is critical
US debt dynamics look scary. Effective policy is critical
Rates
The US 10yr heads back to 4%, but then it’s 5%+ for 2025
The US 10yr heads back to 4%, but then it’s 5%+ for 2025
Rates
US bond market on the precipice when it comes to funding the deficit
US bond market on the precipice when it comes to funding the deficit
Rates
Spreads to the US to widen for most of 2025
Spreads to the US to widen for most of 2025
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: CPI Wednesday a test for longs
Rates Spark: CPI Wednesday a test for longs
Rates
Rates Spark
Rates Spark: Payrolls Friday to settle things
Rates Spark: Payrolls Friday to settle things