Some further clarity from Trump, but don't forget Congress is in the driving seat.
In what appears to be a last minute dash to bolster the number of “boxes ticked” in his first 100 days, the Trump administration has presented a one page document outlining goals for tax reductions.
Whether he will succeed with this remains in the hands of Congress
What few details this contains, are more or less in line with pledges made on the campaign trail, and mark President Trump out as one of that rare breed of politicians, who not only mean what they say, but then try to achieve it. Whether he will succeed with this remains in the hands of Congress, with whom all power on fiscal matters lies. But early signals suggest that this fiscal plan will not go the same way as the attempt to repeal and replace Obamacare. That said, we also doubt that it will get through in its entirety.
As it stands, it is hard to see how the goals outlined in the plan will be fiscally neutral, as claimed by Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Director of the National Economic Council, Gary Cohn. This suggests to us that it is liable to downward modification before it actually passes into law.
For the announcement itself, please see the link to the White House Website (click here).
Trump's proposed corporate tax rate
Separately, The Administration also announced that it would not be pulling out of NAFTA, but intends to renegotiate the trade deal with Canada and Mexico. This will be easier when Robert Lighthizer is confirmed in his job as US Trade Representative by a Senate floor vote – this is expected in about two weeks.
Until more details emerge, and it is clear how much of this plan Congress will endorse, we don’t think financial markets will be particularly moved by these plans, though there are some important elements – not least the move to a territorial tax system.