ING’s UK election cheat-sheet

The polls will shortly open in the UK’s crunch election, and the final polling suggests it’s still all to play for. YouGov’s closely watched MRP election model this week pointed to a Conservative majority of 28, down noticeably from 68 just two weeks ago. Markets are primed for that outcome, but small shifts in voter behaviour could yet result in another hung Parliament.

Turnout is always a big unknown, and the YouGov model showed that a number of the seats projected to be won by the Conservatives would be tight (likewise many of those held by Labour).

Whatever happens, it’s going to be a fascinating night. Here at ING, we’ll be providing through-the-night coverage, keeping you up-to-date with what it all means for the pound, Brexit and the economy.

If you’re planning to stay glued to the TV overnight too – or like us are trying to work out when’s best to take a tactical nap – check out our charts below for the key seats to watch and a rough timeline of when we should get a clearer idea of which way the election has swung.

We'll get the closely-watched exit poll at 10pm, but it won't be until well into the early hours of Friday morning (3-4am) until many of the key seats will be declared.