Briefing Romania

The Romanian leu remained captive in a tight range around 4.7600 against the euro, on below average turnover. Today’s current account data – which we expect to be weak again - could animate the market a bit.

Romanian government bonds recovered some 1-2 basis points of the previous day’s losses. The RON400 million 1Y T-bills auction attracted total bids of only RON220 million, at an average yield of 3.44%. All bids have been rejected by the Ministry of Finance, presumably due to the low demand rather than the yield itself. On the other hand the RON300 million Feb-2029 auction came in a lot better, at least demand-wise. As anticipated, the 5.00% mark acted as a trigger for investors. Out of the total RON775 million bids, the Ministry of Finance allocated RON322 million at 4.98% average and 5.01% maximum yields. It's worth noting the average of all yields stood at 5.02%, hence quite well clustered demand.

Cash came in a bit cheaper yesterday, closing around 3.30%. We could have a few calmer days for the tenors covering the current reserve period, for whatever trades on the next reserve seem to be priced above 4.00%.