Briefing Romania

It was more of the same for the EUR/RON yesterday as the pair traded in a relatively narrow 4.7760-4.7790 range despite the increased turnover. For now, the pair looks to have stabilised at close to 4.7800.

With core markets correcting lower yesterday, the pressure on Romanian government bonds diminished a bit. The yield curve remained broadly flat compared to the previous day. In the short-term, there is still little reason to be bullish on ROMGBs considering the elevated financing needs of the Ministry of Finance.

On the money market, the curve remains inverted, with cash rates trading just below 4.00%. The liquidity conditions should gradually improve as MinFin spending kicks in, though we don’t expect any spectacular drop in funding.