US election scenarios and how they’ll impact energy and climate policy

A victory for former President Donald Trump over Vice President Kamala Harris in the November elections could significantly alter the path of US energy policy

In this bundle

Energy

United States

How the US election could impact the energy transition

Regardless of who becomes president in November, the US energy transition is unlikely to stop

and

Energy

United States

Trump constrained scenario: energy dominance and transition in parallel

Under a Trump presidency, the US energy transition is expected to slow down due to weakened regulation and funding support

Energy

United States

Trump clean sweep scenario: unleashed energy dominance sets back green agenda

A Republican president and Congress would trigger substantial disruption to climate policymaking

President Harris scenario: sustained climate ambition faces a bumpy road

Energy

United States

President Harris scenario: sustained climate ambition faces a bumpy road

Harris is likely to preserve the Biden administration’s most important climate legacy, the Inflation Reduction Act