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21 December 2018

Key events in EMEA and Latam next week

EMEA and Latam's two-week bumper calendar sees a raft of trade and manufacturing data releases amongst some key confidence indicators. Here we should gain some insight into economic momentum as we head into 2019

Turkey: Disinflation pause early 2019, but don't expect it to last

Following a sharp drop in inflation in November on the back of a stronger lira, tax cuts and lower food inflation, we expect another benign reading in December at 0.4% month-on-month.

This will pull the annual figure further down to 21.3%. However, we’re likely to see a pause in the disinflation trend in early 2019, given the impact of the reversal in temporary tax cuts and unfavourable base effects - though inflation will probably begin to fall more rapidly in the second half of the year.

EMEA and Latam Economic Calendar

Source: ING, Bloomberg
ING, Bloomberg
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